Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 61.816557 70.213511 78.819343 88.264845 98.307967 108.637320 120.033896
2025-12-07 49.709078 61.797032 74.763861 89.568503 105.873142 123.164982 142.776834
2025-12-14 41.190126 55.087530 70.536404 88.694655 109.190573 131.378333 156.993734
2025-12-21 34.067378 48.993626 66.166417 86.895727 110.805831 137.145957 168.005358
2025-12-28 31.161618 47.421568 66.622463 90.252661 117.926666 148.780063 185.284636
2026-01-04 27.984758 45.139370 65.934157 92.010586 122.991210 157.915086 199.607055
2026-01-11 24.210540 41.714158 63.554605 91.494536 125.186556 163.595344 209.859039
2026-01-18 20.977378 38.669534 61.390709 91.019134 127.246701 168.971952 219.636465
2026-01-25 18.567068 36.497870 60.148265 91.520020 130.345799 175.457786 230.607938
2026-02-01 15.991990 33.833061 58.073812 90.823394 131.870649 179.996625 239.239029
2026-02-08 13.944316 31.725074 56.582075 90.738575 134.041714 185.222030 248.607536
2026-02-15 11.845540 29.306746 54.506640 89.771989 135.021744 188.949069 256.152306
2026-02-22 10.623623 28.177708 54.169063 91.061192 138.833062 196.121930 267.843692
2026-03-01 9.586180 27.242632 54.039546 92.582675 142.913438 203.613372 279.921304
2026-03-08 8.015005 25.181453 52.155180 91.656414 143.817361 207.193095 287.295521
2026-03-15 6.426977 22.837829 49.696507 89.830855 143.479734 209.187037 292.715501
2026-03-22 6.174675 23.034037 51.058796 93.248539 149.895501 219.474171 308.105310
2026-03-29 5.601379 22.507206 51.268048 95.038756 154.185352 227.133478 320.328303
2026-04-05 4.638421 21.005895 49.868124 94.513280 155.411908 230.971981 327.912208
2026-04-12 3.801552 19.610884 48.544384 94.029223 156.644703 234.784062 335.438509
2026-04-19 3.222475 18.699773 47.945077 94.539235 159.161427 240.179505 344.878628
2026-04-26 2.543214 17.358969 46.544776 93.829909 160.013958 243.459236 351.715269
2026-05-03 2.036031 16.330672 45.603383 93.743540 161.666597 247.723220 359.740811